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28 Jul, 2025

PayPal Launches Crypto Checkout Tool, Adds Support for Over 100 Tokens

Payments platform PayPal is set to roll out a new feature for US merchants to accept payments with over 100 cryptocurrencies, targeting overseas transactions and more utility of its own stablecoin.According to a Monday announcement, businesses will be able to accept Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, USDT, USDC and XRP, among others. The tool integrates with crypto wallets including Coinbase Wallet, MetaMask, OKX, Kraken, Binance, Phantom, and Exodus.Transactions paid with cryptocurrencies will be automatically converted into PayPal's stablecoin PYUSD or fiat currency at checkout, allowing merchants to receive crypto payments without dealing with price volatility.PayPal will charge merchants a 0.99% transaction fee for crypto payments, which it claims is 90% lower than typical credit card processing costs. For comparison, Visa’s fees start at 1.75% of a transaction cost.The feature aims to simplify cross-border transactions, which PayPal said are often expensive and challenging for small and medium-sized businesses. For now, it is only available to US-based merchants, with the exclusion of New York residents.PayPal joins Stripe and Coinbase in the race to streamline global crypto paymentsThe move comes as PYUSD’s market capitalization has risen by nearly 80% since January 1, climbing to $894 million from $497 million, according to data from CoinGecko. It also arrives as competitors, such as Stripe, continue to roll out new features for cross-border crypto payments. In October 2024, Stripe launched a stablecoin payment option for USD Coin that saw adoption from users in 70 countries on its first day. In June, the fintech company partnered with Coinbase to integrate fiat-to-crypto services across both platforms. Stripe added support for Coinbase’s Base network, while Coinbase Wallet incorporated Stripe’s fiat on-ramp.Fintech payment platforms like Stripe and PayPal are expanding their crypto payment offerings, but centralized exchanges like Coinbase have worked on crypto merchant tools for some time. In 2018, the exchange launched Coinbase Commerce, allowing merchants to accept crypto on platforms like Shopify and WooCommerce.In 2024, Coinbase released the x402 protocol, a payment system that enables crypto transactions over standard HTTP. Designed for APIs and AI agents, it allows automated systems to send and receive stablecoins, primarily USDC, on the Base network. Regulatory clarity drives stablecoin and crypto payment growthPayPal’s new feature follows the recent passage of the GENIUS Act. The legislation provides a regulated pathway for companies like PayPal to expand services involving and integrate stablecoins into their payment infrastructure.Small businesses worldwide are also warming up to crypto payments. Industries like food and beverage, retail, travel, e-commerce and even real estate have turned to accepting crypto payments for its speed and lower costs.

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25 Jul, 2025

Stablecoin Adoption in E-commerce: Challenges, Case Studies, and Future Outlook

The idea that cryptocurrency could become a mainstream payment method for e-commerce has long been met with optimism.In theory, its advantages — such as irreversible transactions, low fees, and instant cross-border settlements — appear to address many of the pain points in traditional payment systems. However, in reality, adoption in the e-commerce space has been slow and uneven. Only in recent years, with the maturing of the market and the advancement of technology, has this landscape begun to shift.This article delves into the journey of cryptocurrency adoption in e-commerce — from the gap between early expectations and real-world outcomes, to the importance of network effects, and the new possibilities brought by stablecoins — uncovering the core logic and future direction of this transformation.The Gap Between Early Expectations and Reality: Why Didn’t Theoretical Advantages Translate Into Adoption?Around 2014, following the first major Bitcoin price bubble in late 2013 (relatively small by 2017 standards), cryptocurrencies entered the mainstream spotlight. At the time, there was widespread optimism in the industry: e-commerce was expected to be the breakout use case for crypto payments. Small and medium-sized merchants, in particular, were seen as likely early adopters — after all, the risk of chargebacks had long been a nightmare in traditional payment systems. For example, customers could demand a refund from their credit card issuer by claiming non-delivery or fraud, leaving the merchant to bear the full loss. With its “push-based” and irreversible transaction model, cryptocurrency seemed poised to eliminate this issue at the root.Cross-border payments also presented a clear use case. Traditional bank transfers could cost 3–5% in fees and take 3–7 business days to settle, whereas Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies offered fixed, low-cost international transfers (just a few cents in the early days) with settlement times of around 10 minutes. For e-commerce merchants relying on global supply chains, this appeared to be an ideal solution for reducing costs and improving efficiency.Yet these theoretical benefits failed to materialize into actual adoption. Although some major companies like Dell and Expedia experimented with accepting Bitcoin, user uptake was minimal. For instance, after Expedia announced it would accept Bitcoin in 2014, it discontinued the service just two years later due to “insufficient transaction volume.” More importantly, Bitcoin’s own technical limitations proved to be a fatal flaw: during the 2017 scalability crisis, transaction fees spiked to as much as $20 per transaction, making it economically unfeasible to buy anything under $100 — nobody wants to pay $20 in fees for a $5 coffee. At this stage, crypto in e-commerce remained a pioneering experiment rather than a scalable solution.Network Effects and Currency Substitution: Lessons from Ramen Economics in U.S. PrisonsThe early setbacks of crypto in e-commerce highlight a fundamental challenge in monetary substitution: for a new form of money to replace the existing system, it must overcome the network effects of the old one. A striking example of this can be found in the unexpected case of “ramen economics” in U.S. prisons.In 2016, a study revealed that ramen noodles had replaced cigarettes as the primary medium of exchange in American prisons. For years, cigarettes had served as the de facto currency due to their portability, divisibility, difficulty to counterfeit, scarcity, and widespread acceptance — ticking all the boxes of a functional currency. The rise of ramen was driven by a “food crisis” stemming from underfunded prison systems, where inmates lacked sufficient caloric intake. Ramen, being high in energy and easy to store, offered practical value that cigarettes couldn’t match. The key insight: network effects can only be broken when a new currency meets core needs that the old one fails to address.Returning to the competition between cryptocurrencies and traditional payments: although Bitcoin addressed issues like chargebacks and high cross-border fees, these benefits weren’t disruptive enough. Traditional systems like credit cards and PayPal had built strong network effects over decades — consumers were used to the safety of post-purchase disputes, while merchants relied on mature reconciliation and refund systems. The complexity of crypto (private key management, wallet operations), price volatility (often >10% in a day), and infrastructure costs (node maintenance, security) further discouraged merchant adoption. As one blog puts it: “Unless there is a fundamental need — like hunger — a monetary system won’t change.” Bitcoin simply didn’t offer a “must-use” reason in its early days, and thus couldn’t shake the dominance of existing payment systems.A Turning Point: Japan and South Korea and the Chicken-or-Egg Problem of AdoptionIn recent years, real progress has been made in crypto adoption in e-commerce, particularly in Japan and South Korea. Despite the crypto market downturn in early 2018, both countries pushed forward with integrating crypto into mainstream retail. For example, Japan’s e-commerce giant Rakuten began accepting Bitcoin across its e-commerce, travel, and even mobile services. In South Korea, major convenience store chains like CU (GS25) integrated Bitcoin and Ethereum payments, allowing customers to buy groceries and household goods with crypto.What these cases have in common is that adoption wasn’t driven by merchants — it was driven by users. Japan and South Korea have some of the highest crypto ownership rates in the world. In 2018, Japan had an estimated 3 million crypto holders (about 2.4% of the population), and South Korea had over 5 million crypto trading accounts (nearly 10% of its population). When a critical mass of users already holds crypto (as investments or assets), enabling crypto payments becomes an obvious move for merchants. Instead of requiring users to convert crypto to fiat before spending, why not accept crypto directly to boost conversions? This confirms the “user-first, merchant-second” model: only when the user base reaches a certain size do merchants find it worthwhile to absorb integration costs. And users, in most cases, originally acquire crypto for investment — not for payments.Stablecoins: The Key to Solving Volatility or Just a New Centralization Trap?While the examples of Japan and South Korea show localized success, price volatility remains the biggest obstacle to mainstream crypto adoption as a payment tool. Imagine using 1 BTC to buy a $5,000 laptop — if Bitcoin drops 10% within 24 hours, you’ve effectively overpaid by $500; if it rises, the merchant suffers. This uncertainty makes it hard for both buyers and sellers to treat crypto as a reliable unit of account.Stablecoins — cryptocurrencies pegged to fiat currencies like the U.S. dollar or Japanese yen — are widely considered the solution. In theory, they combine the technical advantages of crypto (speed, low cost, borderless) with the price stability of fiat. However, real-world stablecoins face two major challenges:1. The Centralization vs. Decentralization ParadoxMost popular stablecoins (e.g., USDT, USDC) follow a fiat-collateralized model: for every stablecoin issued, the issuer must hold an equivalent amount of fiat in reserve. While this ensures price stability, it reintroduces centralization risks — users must trust that the issuer holds sufficient reserves and doesn’t misuse funds. Historically, USDT has sparked panic due to concerns over reserve transparency, causing it to briefly de-peg from the dollar.2. Technical Limitations of Decentralized StablecoinsAlgorithmic stablecoins (e.g., DAI) attempt to maintain stability through smart contracts that balance supply and demand, avoiding centralized reserves. But these systems rely on over-collateralization (e.g., locking $200 worth of crypto to issue $100 worth of stablecoin) and are vulnerable to “death spirals” during sharp market downturns (forced liquidations lead to further sell-offs). So far, no decentralized stablecoin has matched the scale or stability of fiat-backed alternatives.A blog once proposed an innovative idea: a decentralized stablecoin backed by a retail network. This would echo the 19th-century “wildcat banks” in the U.S., where regional merchant alliances issued notes redeemable for goods and services. While such a model could balance decentralization and practicality, it would require a broad consensus among merchants and a high level of user trust — something unlikely to be achieved in the short term.Outlook: Organic Growth and a Future of CoexistenceThe adoption of cryptocurrency in e-commerce is unlikely to be a sudden revolution. It will more likely unfold as a process of organic growth. As the global crypto user base expands — over 420 million holders worldwide as of 2023, according to Chainalysis — merchant interest in integration will grow naturally. At the same time, as stablecoin technologies mature (whether centralized or decentralized), the volatility barrier will gradually be addressed.Ultimately, we may see a “coexistence model” emerge: stablecoins for small daily payments, major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin for large cross-border transactions, and traditional payment methods for risk-averse users. Just like ramen and cigarettes coexisted in U.S. prison economies — with the former used for transactions and the latter as a store of value — future payment ecosystems will likely evolve to meet different needs in different scenarios.Technology does not wait for the hesitant. History shows that when infrastructure and user habits align, the pace of transformation can far exceed expectations. The true tipping point for crypto in e-commerce may only be one killer app away — and stablecoins could very well be that inflection point.

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23 Jul, 2025

Nigeria Signals Greenlight for Stablecoin Innovation Under New Regulatory Vision

Nigeria is taking a decisive step toward embracing stablecoin adoption, as the country’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) outlined its readiness to support digital currency innovation—under clear regulatory conditions.The announcement came during the Nigeria Stablecoin Summit held in Lagos, organized by the Africa Stablecoin Network.Speaking on behalf of the SEC, Director-General Emomotimi Agama delivered a keynote address titled “Building a Regulatory Framework for Stablecoin Innovation: The Nigerian Perspective.” In his remarks, Agama affirmed that Nigeria is open to stablecoin business, but only within a framework that protects markets and empowers its citizens.He emphasized that stablecoins are becoming increasingly important in Nigeria’s digital economy, especially as local businesses and freelancers use dollar-pegged digital assets to navigate ongoing naira volatility. According to Agama, this shift is helping drive exponential growth in stablecoin usage across the country.Agama also highlighted the importance of regulatory frameworks tailored specifically to African realities. While acknowledging international standards, he stressed the need for localized solutions that reflect Nigeria’s market structure and demographic profile.Central to Nigeria’s evolving regulatory approach is the recently signed Investment and Securities Act (ISA 2025). The act includes specific provisions for the oversight of stablecoins and other digital assets, giving the SEC a stronger legal foundation to manage innovation responsibly.Agama further revealed that the SEC has already onboarded several startups focused on stablecoin use cases into its regulatory sandbox. This initiative, he noted, balances innovation with risk management and compliance.Looking ahead, Agama envisioned Nigeria as a future hub for stablecoin-driven commerce across Africa. He expressed hope that Nigerian-developed stablecoins could one day power cross-border trade throughout the continent.Africa Stablecoin Network President Nathaniel Luz praised the move as a crucial step toward a secure and vibrant digital asset economy in Africa.

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21 Jul, 2025

Mobile Phones Fuel Surge in Savings: What the Global Trend Means for Laos

More adults than ever in low- and middle-income countries now have bank or other financial accounts, leading to a rise in formal saving, according to the World Bank Group’s Global Findex 2025 report. This momentum in financial inclusion is creating new economic opportunities.  Mobile-phone technology played a key role in the surge, with 10 percent of adults in developing economies using a mobile-money account to save, a 5-percentage point increase from 2021. The global shift toward digital finance is now raising questions and hopes about its potential to reshape financial inclusion in Laos.The report, released last week, shows that 40 percent of adults in low- and middle-income countries saved money in a financial account in 2024, marking the fastest increase in formal saving in over a decade. This represents a 16 percentage point rise since 2021.A key contributor to this trend is the use of mobile-money accounts. Ten percent of adults in these economies are now saving through mobile platforms, a significant jump of five percentage points in just three years.A Global Shift, a Local OpportunityThe East Asia and Pacific region now leads the world in both smartphone adoption and financial account ownership, with eighty-six percent of adults owning a smartphone and eighty-three percent holding some form of financial account.Laos is already advancing its digital financial infrastructure. In recent years, the country has taken measured steps to digitize its financial infrastructure. The Bank of the Lao PDR has introduced mobile-money systems and digital financial services to underserved areas. The government’s ongoing National Financial Inclusion Strategy aims to improve account access, particularly for women and rural populations.These national goals are supported by concrete action. In 2023, the Bank of the Lao PDR launched a pilot of the country’s first digital currency, and enabled QR code payments across borders, starting with Cambodia and later expanding to Vietnam. These systems aim to reach rural users who may lack access to traditional bank branches or smartphones.The Digital Kip trial and QR code payments were designed to reach the 70 percent of Lao adults who were unbanked in 2023. In January 2025, Laos and Vietnam officially launched a cross-border QR payment network, helping to deepen financial access for small merchants and travelers, while promoting cashless transactions.Digital Finance and Gender InclusionThe new report also highlights significant progress in closing the gender gap. In low- and middle-income countries, women’s account ownership has nearly doubled, from 37 percent in 2011 to 73 percent in 2024. “Financial inclusion has the potential to improve lives and transform entire economies,” said World Bank Group President Ajay Banga. “Digital finance can convert this potential into reality, but several ingredients need to be in place. At the World Bank Group, we’re working on all of them. We’re helping countries get their people access to new or improved digital IDs. We’re constructing social protection programs with digital cash-transfer systems that deliver resources directly to those in need. We’re modernizing payment systems and helping to remove regulatory roadblocks, so that people and businesses have the financing they need to innovate and create jobs.”Yet risks remain. The Findex Digital Connectivity Tracker 2025 found that while 86 percent of adults in developing economies own a mobile phone, only about half use a password or other protection, raising concerns about the safety of digital savings.

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18 Jul, 2025

Trump Signs Stablecoin GENIUS Act, Cementing First Major Crypto Framework in US Law

U.S. President Donald Trump signed a bill that would create a federal regulatory framework for stablecoins, marking the first significant crypto-related legislation to be signed into law.On Friday afternoon, Trump signed the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins, or GENIUS, as it’s more commonly known, which Trump joked on Friday was named after him.“This afternoon, we take a giant step to cement American dominance of global finance and crypto technology as we sign the landmark GENIUS Act into law,” Trump said at the signing ceremony.“They’ve come a long way since the Biden administration, when they had no idea what were you all talking about and half of you were under arrest for no reason,” Trump added.Trump called the signing a “massive validation” for the crypto industry.The bill would create a federal regulatory framework for stablecoins, requiring stablecoins to be fully backed by U.S. dollars or similarly liquid assets, mandate annual audits for issuers with a market capitalization of more than $50 billion, and establish guidelines for foreign issuance.GENIUS was passed out of the U.S. House of Representatives 308–122 on Thursday. The bill had already been passed in the Senate, thereby sending it to Trump’s desk after passage in the House. The path to passing GENIUS, along with a larger crypto market structure bill and an anti-central bank digital currency bill, was met with some speed bumps as some Republicans bucked their colleagues and voted no in two procedural votes.Trump also nodded to crypto executives in the room, including Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino and Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong.As of July 18, Tether’s USDT made up $162 billion in total stablecoin supply, while Circle’s makes up about $63 billion.Excitement bubbled on X among White House leads and crypto advocates ahead of the bill signing.Jeremy Allaire, CEO of Circle, said he was on his way to the signing of GENIUS.“En route to the @WhiteHouse for the historic signing of the GENIUS Act, one of the most transformative pieces of legislation in decades,” Allaire said in a post on X. “Global financial system, welcome to the Internet!”Anchorage Digital CEO Nathan McCauley said he was honored to be at the White House today.“GENIUS is the first major digital asset legislation to clear Congress after years of public and private effort led to this bipartisan milestone,” he said in a post on X. “Taking a moment to appreciate what it took to get here and excited for what is coming next.”Coinbase executives also said they were going to the signing on X, including Coinbase CEO Armstrong, Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal and Coinbase Chief Policy Officer Faryar Shirzad.The White House’s Bo Hines also posted about the bill signing.“What’s crypto week without a little bit of volatility?” said Hines, executive director of the Presidential Council of Advisers for Digital Assets, in a post on X on Thursday. “Who’s ready for a bill signing tomorrow?”Before GENIUS was passed on Thursday, some Democrats voiced concerns about Trump family-run World Liberty Financial USD, which is now one of the largest stablecoins in the world, according to Bankrate. Top Democrat of the House Financial Services Committee Maxine Waters called out the potential conflict of interest on Thursday and also relayed other concerns around foreign issuers.“… it leaves the door open for foreign firms that present a major national security threat, including targets of sanctions, all to appease those in the Trump family’s inner circle, which has ties to those shady entities,” Waters said in a statement.Earlier this year, Trump signed a resolution to repeal a controversial crypto tax rule finalized toward the end of the Biden administration.The rule set requirements for “custodial brokers” around collecting and reporting user data to the tax agency.

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16 Jul, 2025

Trump Urges GOP Support for Stablecoin, Crypto Clarity Bills During Crypto Week

It's been billed as "Crypto Week" in Washington, D.C., and President Trump has chimed in."The House will soon VOTE on a tremendous Bill to Make America the UNDISPUTED, NUMBER ONE LEADER in Digital Assets - Nobody does it better!" Trump wrote Tuesday in a post on Truth Social. "The GENIUS Act is going to put our Great Nation lightyears ahead of China, Europe, and all others, who are trying endlessly to catch up, but they just can’t do it. Digital Assets are the FUTURE, and we are leading by a lot!"The U.S. House of Representatives will consider two different initiatives this week: the stablecoin GENIUS bill and the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. The House will also be considering a bill that would block the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency directly to individuals.GENIUS would require stablecoins to be fully backed by U.S. dollars or similarly liquid assets, mandate annual audits for issuers with a market cap of more than $50 billion, and establish guidelines for foreign issuance.Meanwhile, the Clarity Act establishes a clear crypto regulatory framework by defining the roles of the SEC and CFTC, while also mandating retail disclosures and the separation of customer and corporate funds."If these bills pass through Congress during Crypto Week and eventually get signed into law, we've entered a new era," Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan said Tuesday. "Crypto is going mainstream, risk is being reduced, and Wall Street is moving into the space in a big way. No wonder we’re at all-time highs."The price of bitcoin hit an all-time high on Monday and currently trades around $116,800. The GMCI 30, which represents a selection of the top 30 cryptocurrencies, is up more than 15% over the past."Get the first Vote done this afternoon (ALL REPUBLICANS SHOULD VOTE YES!)," Trump said in his post. "This is our moment - Digital Assets, GENIUS, Clarity! It is all part of Making America Great Again, BIGGER AND BETTER THAN EVER BEFORE."Rep. Maxine Waters, D-Calif., the top Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee, once again slammed President Trump's crypto connections on Monday."[Both bills] would legitimize and legalize the unprecedented crypto corruption by the president of the United States," Waters wrote in an op-ed. On Friday, she said, "these bills would make Congress complicit in Trump’s unprecedented crypto scam – one that has personally enriched himself, his entire family, and the billionaire insiders in his cabinet, all while defrauding investors."Bloomberg recently estimated that President Trump has profited $620 million from his family's crypto ventures, which include World Liberty Financial and the TRUMP and MELANIA memecoins. The Trump family also has a 20% stake in the mining firm American Bitcoin, which is expected to go public."We are leading the World," Trump's post concluded, "and will work hard with the Senate and the House to get even more Legislation on this passed!"

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14 Jul, 2025

Bitcoin Becomes World’s Fifth-Largest Asset by Market Cap, Surpassing Amazon

Bitcoin is now the world's fifth-largest asset by market capitalization, as its price soared to unprecedented levels of around $122,000.The world's largest cryptocurrency holds a market capitalization of $2.407 trillion at the time of writing, beating that of Amazon, Silver and Google, according to companiesmarketcap.com. Gold currently owns the largest market capitalization of $22.64 trillion, followed by NVIDIA, Microsoft and Apple.Bitcoin surged past $120,000 for the first time late Sunday night, continuing its ascent to trade at $122,500 by 2 a.m. Monday."This rally isn’t just momentum, it’s infrastructure-driven," said Vincent Liu, chief investment officer at Kronos Research. "The rally is being driven by a powerful convergence: institutional inflows through ETFs, policy momentum in Washington, and macro liquidity that’s finally turning favorable."A continued stream of institutional demand is spotted in U.S. spot bitcoin ETF inflows, where weeks of consecutive positive flows have led over $16 billion to move into the funds, according to SoSoValue data.This is combined with anticipation for legislative advancements in the U.S. from "Crypto Week" — lawmakers will discuss and potentially advance key crypto proposals such as the CLARITY Act or the GENIUS Act this week.Liu said bitcoin would see further upside if these factors hold up, and the market sees clearer signs of an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve."We’re entering a regime where traditional valuation frameworks don’t apply cleanly," Liu said. "If ETF demand sustains and rate cut expectations firm up, BTC could test $130K–$150K before year-end. But velocity will depend on whether retail re-engages alongside institutional flows."Eugene Cheung, chief commercial officer at OSL exchange, also said that he sees potential for bitcoin to reach $130,000 to $150,000 by the end of 2025.Meanwhile, the Kronos analyst said bitcoin's biggest risk now is soft retail conviction in the cryptocurrency, as institutional capital sustains market force."A stall in ETF inflows or renewed policy uncertainty could disrupt what’s currently a well-structured macro uptrend," Liu said.From bitcoin's notable surge today, altcoins have also benefited — Ethereum rose 2.71% in the past 24 hours to break above $3,000, while XRP added 4.82% to $2.91, and Solana gained 3.21% to $165.9. The GMCI 30 Index, which measures the performance of the top 30 cryptocurrencies, is up 3.6% over the last day.

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11 Jul, 2025

Bitcoin Rallies 142% as Stablecoin Reserves Hit New Lows

Bitcoin’s recent rally has been significantly fueled by stablecoins, with reserves on exchanges hitting new lows. This trend indicates strong market conviction and spot-driven buying momentum. At the time of reporting, Bitcoin was priced at $117,913, with support trailing near $111,591 based on Parabolic SAR. The Exchange Stablecoins Ratio fell to its lowest level in months, signaling that available stablecoin liquidity is being deployed to acquire Bitcoin, suggesting strong investor demand. However, this depletion also indicates reduced buying power on exchanges, which could limit further upside if new capital fails to enter the market.Despite the ongoing rally, the Spot Volume Bubble Map reflected a cooling trend, revealing weakening trading activity beneath the surface. The diminishing bubble size and subdued activity suggested that momentum may be fading even as prices continued climbing. This divergence raises concerns that fewer market participants are actively engaging in the rally, increasing the risk of exhaustion. Unless volume recovers in the short term, Bitcoin’s bullish momentum could begin to lose traction, opening the door for sideways movement or minor pullbacks.Both the NVT and NVM ratios have spiked significantly, signaling a sharp divergence between market cap and transaction volume. These metrics often indicate overvaluation when rising rapidly, as they show that price is outpacing network usage. Historically, such imbalances have preceded short-term corrections or consolidation phases. Thus, while sentiment remains bullish, these valuation indicators suggest that Bitcoin could be entering overheated territory, and traders should prepare for a potential rebalancing of price and utility metrics.The Miner Position Index (MPI) has plunged by over 142%, reaching -0.70, indicating that miners were reducing their outflows drastically. Thus, miners were likely expecting prices to continue rising. Typically, miner selling increases during rallies; however, the current trend points toward long-term conviction. This retreat from selling supports the bullish narrative, although it also adds pressure on late buyers if the market suddenly reverses and miners begin offloading again.Directional indicators reflected clear buyer dominance, with +DI at 33.12 and -DI lagging at 11.73 at press time. However, the ADX was at just 19.70, signaling weak trend strength overall. While bulls clearly control the market, the lack of strong directional force suggests that the rally still lacks full conviction. In addition, Parabolic SAR support at $111.6K provides a cushion, but unless ADX begins to rise, the uptrend could stall. Therefore, traders should remain cautious as trend strength has yet to catch up with price momentum.Bitcoin’s rally was supported by strong investor demand, reduced miner selling, and bullish spot flows. However, overvaluation signs from NVT/NVM ratios, cooling volume, and weak trend strength hint at growing risk. Unless market participation and trend momentum improve soon, Bitcoin could face consolidation. While short-term conditions still favor buyers, the sustainability of this run depends on renewed inflows and broader confirmation from technicals. The next few days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can extend its breakout or pause for a breather.

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